Four keys for the Buffalo Bills to beat the Philadelphia Eagles


1. Slow Saquon​

The Buffalo Bills' defense will be tasked with shutting down Philadelphia running back Saquon Barkley. Barkley has yet to face the Bills as a member of the Eagles, but in two career meetings with Buffalo – both with the New York Giants – Barkley had 200 rushing yards total on 42 carries. Now, both Barkley and the Bills' defense have evolved since then, but he is still a force on the field. The Bills' run defense has been gashed this season. Now, they’ll have to stop a premiere back in a game slated to have gross weather. And Barkley is coming off a strong game versus Washington.

“Saquon was doing things that only Saquon can do,” Bills coach Sean McDermott said.

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Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts throws a touchdown pass to A.J. Brown during the second half against the Bills in 2023.
Harry Scull Jr., Buffalo News


2. Touchdowns, not field goals​

Members of the Bills' offense, led by quarterback Josh Allen, often say they are looking for seven points on every drive. They will want to meet that goal on Sunday. First, they’ll want to put up points on Philadelphia to give the Buffalo defense a break. But the Bills also could be shaky at special teams right now, so they won’t want to chance field goals. Kicker Matt Prater will be out again with a right quad injury, and Michael Badgley did not have the most convincing performance against the Cleveland Browns last week. Instead, the offense needs to stay on the field and reach the end zone in what is likely to be a close game.

3. Find answers at receiver​

Asked about the wide receiving corps on Friday, McDermott said that where the Bills want to be and where they are – as far as the philosophy of rostering receivers for matchups versus for consistency – are “two different things.” The Bills will want to figure that out quickly.

“That's just being real with you here,” McDermott said. “We're trying to find that in order to get it to here, it's just taken longer than we would have liked at this point. But I remain confident in the guys in that room, in the wide receiver room that you're referring to, and I'm looking forward to them coming out, playing with a chip on their shoulder and getting us into a groove, here.”

4. Last-minute tune up​

With the Bills’ regular season ending with a meeting with the New York Jets, Sunday will be a good chance to see how Buffalo does against a high-caliber team like Philadelphia. The goal, of course, is to win, but the Bills can also use the 60 minutes as a measuring stick of what there is to still correct before the playoffs.
“They're certainly at the top and world champs,” McDermott said of the Eagles. “They've got a really strong roster as has been talked about for years now. So we'll have our hands full, but looking forward to and fully confident in our guys, as well, and looking forward to the challenge."
 

Bills numbers to know: 4 trends for Buffalo's game against defending champion Eagles​


714​

No NFL team has put fewer than seven defenders in the box to try to stop the run than the Philadelphia Eagles (714), according to Next Gen Stats. The Bills average 6 yards per carry when a defense uses a light box and they have 24 runs of 10-plus yards. James Cook leads the NFL with 1,532 rushing yards, and he has gained a league-high 498 rushing yards before contact.

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Bills running back James Cook leads the NFL with 1,532 rushing yards.
Harry Scull Jr., Buffalo News


120​

Eagles running back Saquon Barkley has gained at least 120 rushing yards in two of the last three weeks, ranking first in carries (63) and second in rushing yards (332) since Week 14. Though the Bills' run defense has struggled for much of the season, they have hit opposing running backs behind the line of scrimmage at the fifth-highest rate, according to Next Gen Stats. On plays in which Buffalo fails to make contact with the runner behind the line, it allows 8.5 yards per carry.

40%​

Philadelphia has held quarterbacks to a league-best 40% completion percentage on throws that travel 10-19 yards, according to Next Gen Stats. Bills quarterback Josh Allen has excelled on such throws, completing 58% of those passes for 986 yards and seven touchdowns with three interceptions. It also may be challenging for Allen to rely on tight end Dalton Kincaid, as the Eagles have held tight ends lined up in the slot to the third-lowest completion percentage.

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Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts runs against the Raiders during a game on Sunday in Philadelphia.
Matt Slocum, Associated Press


310​

The Bills have an AFC-best plus-310 point differential against NFC opponents since 2020, with the Chiefs (plus-247) and Ravens (plus-215) ranking second and third, respectively. The Eagles are the only NFL team Buffalo has yet to beat during Sean McDermott's nine seasons as coach. The Bills have not defeated them since Oct. 9, 2011, when Ryan Fitzpatrick and Fred Jackson led Buffalo to a 31-24 victory at The Ralph.
 
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