Russia Invaded

HipKat

HipKat

Administrator
Staff member
Three days ago, Ukrainian forces deployed along the the Ukrainian/Russian border, opposite the Kursk Oblast, crossed over into Russia.

It's difficult to determine what is going on, as the Ukrainians are tight lipped about things. Russian sources state that the Ukrainians are now 45 Kilometers deep into Russia. That Russian border forces have surrendered in mass, while Chechen Forces have fleed. The piecemeal commitment of Russian forces to the fight, has resulted in their destruction in detail. The Russians have no sense of, or control over, the situation.
It seems that the Ukrainians have commitmented at least four Brigades, with multiple Battalion Battle Groups advancing along roads and railways.

Fighting is currently on going, in the town of Sudzha, a Russian logical supply point. The Ukrainians have also captured the principle natural gas pumping station for Russian gas sales to Europe. It's hard to determine at this point if this attack is just a raid, or a part of something larger.

Apparently, the Russians have stripped their borders, even those opposite of Ukraine, of all available forces. The Russians were relying on Fixed fortifications to stop any Ukrainian incursion. But, these defenses proved to be no obstacle, as Ukrainians blew right through them. In an act of desperation, the Russians have now opted to use close air support and artillery strikes on their on towns and people. But nothing they have done, has slowed down the Ukrainian advance.

For those of you who are familiar with the Russian Front in World War II, I'm sure you will think it strange, to see German Panzers in Kursk again.
 
I respect you enough Hip to not get into a pissing match. That said, take or leave, my take.

Here are the Ukrainian aims:

1. Ease pressure off Donbass where their front is in serious danger of collapse. They lose that line in Donbass, and there is little behind it to stop the Russian army

2. Propaganda, this like last year's offensive (at least as it was intended) and last year's drive into Belgorod was to ensure the west will keep the money and arms coming. A lot of people in the west are tired of this war as it looks like a waste of money. Zelensky hopes to keep the cash and arms coming by saying see, we can impose our will on the Russians

3. Force Putin to the peace table. The final aim is the Kursk nuclear power plant. The gas valve is also big for them

The Ukrainian problem is that these are Russia's aim

1. Get Ukraine's army into open terrain to kill them. Sirsky, the Ukrainian commander wanted to dig in and hold the Russians in a stalemate. So Russia has spent the past several months doing small assaults into Kharkov and Sumy to draw Ukraine out.

Miscellaneous:
Mass surrender? These were reserve formations, not the seasoned forces. These epws are the Russian equivelant of National Guard. They're weekend warriors who run the logistics

All told, this won't change much, but to give the Ukrainians their due this was actually a fairly well planned operation. They won't be able to keep it up, but its a decently thought through operation. The question is how will the Russians respond.
 
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