The Week 13 NFL Power Rankings are in a holiday mood so we’re going to look at this season’s best-case scenario for all 32 teams. For some teams (hello, Philadelphia!), that’s a Super Bowl win. For some teams, it’s a new quarterback. For some teams, it might be sticking with the same quarterback.
We’re also trying to be thankful for such an interesting season while trying to keep our sanity sorting out this league’s muddled middle.
1. Detroit Lions (10-1)
Last week: 1Sunday: Beat Indianapolis Colts 24-6
Best-case scenario: Statues
The Lions last won a championship in 1957. It was not the Super Bowl because that was still a decade away from being invented. This team absolutely can break that drought. Detroit leads the league in scoring (32.7 ppg) and point differential (plus-177) and is second in points allowed (16.6) after dismissing the Colts. Barry Sanders’ statue outside of Ford Field is eight feet tall. How tall would Dan Campbell’s be?
Up next: vs. Chicago Bears, Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET
2. Philadelphia Eagles (9-2)
Last week: 4Sunday: Beat Los Angeles Rams 37-20
Best-case scenario: Super Bowl
Philadelphia established itself as the second-best team in the NFC on Sunday night, and Saquon Barkley put himself into the MVP conversation. Barkley rushed for a franchise-record 255 yards and took over the league rushing lead with 1,392 for the season. He outgained the Rams by himself (302-290). The Eagles haven’t lost with A.J. Brown in the lineup and haven’t lost at all since September.
Up next: at Baltimore Ravens, Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
3. Buffalo Bills (9-2)
Last week: 2Sunday: Bye
Best-case scenario: Super Bowl
Buffalo has the second-best point differential in the league (plus-106) behind only Detroit. It also has Josh Allen, who has become the betting favorite to win MVP at most sportsbooks. Buffalo’s goal right now should be taking playoff home-field advantage away from the Chiefs. The Bills already own the tiebreaker thanks to their Week 11 win, and they have the 16th-toughest remaining schedule, according to The Athletic’s projections.
Up next: vs. San Francisco 49ers, Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET
4. Kansas City Chiefs (10-1)
Last week: 3Sunday: Beat Carolina Panthers 30-27
Best-case scenario: History
The Chiefs can become the first team in NFL history to win three straight Super Bowls. The Green Bay Packers won three straight titles from 1966 to 1968, but only two of those were Super Bowls because that game didn’t start until 1967. Kansas City fans might not survive the road to the three-peat at this point. After beating Carolina on a walk-off field goal, Kansas City has gotten half its wins on the final snap of the game.
Up next: vs. Las Vegas Raiders, Friday, 3 p.m. ET
Josh Jacobs and the Packers ran all over the 49ers on Sunday. (Dan Powers / USA Today Network-Wisconsin / USA Today Network via Imagn Images)
5. Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Last week: 6Sunday: Beat San Francisco 49ers 38-10
Best-case scenario: Super Bowl
Green Bay announced itself as a legitimate NFC contender Sunday by demolishing the reigning conference champions. If Jordan Love can be efficient (two touchdowns and a 107.7 passer rating against the 49ers) and Josh Jacobs keeps running like this, the Packers can be a threat to the Lions in the playoffs. Jacobs, who had 106 yards Sunday, is third in rushing yards (944) and has the sixth-best avoided tackle rate among backs with more than 150 carries, according to FTN Fantasy.
Up next: vs. Miami Dolphins, Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET
6. Minnesota Vikings (9-2)
Last week: 7Sunday: Beat Chicago Bears 30-27
Best-case scenario: NFC Championship Game
The Vikings had a 300-yard passer, two 100-yard receivers and a 100-yard rusher in the same game for the first time since the 2000 season, and Justin Jefferson was not part of that. Sam Darnold got the passing yards. Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson got the receiving yards and Aaron Jones got the rushing yards. Darnold’s 330 passing yards were the fifth-most of his career, but his lack of playoff experience makes it hard to pick this team as a Super Bowl contender.
Up next: vs. Arizona Cardinals, Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
7. Baltimore Ravens (8-4)
Last week: 8Monday: Beat Los Angeles Chargers 30-23
Best-case scenario: Super Bowl
After a one-week slump against the Steelers, Baltimore put 30 points on the league’s best scoring defense, and that’s why this team is still a frontline Super Bowl contender despite its warts — which include being the most penalized team in the league (97) and being 29th in the league in defensive EPA against the pass (minus-.14). Derrick Henry had 140 more rushing yards Monday and now has 1,325 on the season, second only to Saquon Barkley.
Up next: vs. Philadelphia Eagles, Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
8. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3)
Last week: 4Thursday: Lost to Cleveland Browns 24-19
Best-case scenario: AFC Championship Game
Mike Tomlin hasn’t won a playoff game since the 2016 season, so ending that drought is the first order of postseason business. This team has a higher ceiling than that, though. The Steelers defense, better known as T.J. Watt and Friends, is fourth in points allowed (16.9) and top 10 in yards per play allowed (5.2), defensive success rate (60.9 percent) and EPA (9.0 per 100 snaps). The offensive limitations (23rd in yards per play, 5.0) put a ceiling on things.
Up next: at Cincinnati Bengals, Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
9. Los Angeles Chargers (7-4)
Last week: 9Monday: Lost to Baltimore Ravens 30-23
Best-case scenario: AFC Championship Game
The Chargers didn’t allow an opponent to top 20 points in the first 10 weeks of the season. Cincinnati and Baltimore have each gone over 26 in the last two weeks. They still lead the league in scoring defense (15.9 ppg allowed), but they still have something to prove against elite offenses if they want to be a real contender. The Ravens rushed for 214 yards Monday night, and the Chargers had only 70.
Up next: at Atlanta Falcons, Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
10. Denver Broncos (7-5)
Last week: 11Sunday: Beat Las Vegas Raiders 29-19
Best-case scenario: Playoffs
The Broncos have beaten only one team that currently has a winning record (the Falcons in Week 11,) but they’ve done enough to earn the seventh playoff spot in the AFC for now. In the last three weeks, rookie quarterback Bo Nix is second in passer rating (118.6), third in EPA per dropback (.32) and has thrown eight touchdowns versus no interceptions. In that same time frame, Courtland Sutton is fourth in catches (21) and fifth in receiving yards (245).
Up next: vs. Cleveland Browns, Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET
11. Washington Commanders (7-5)
Last week: 10Sunday: Lost to Dallas Cowboys 34-26
Best-case scenario: Playoffs
Washington has lost three straight and four of its last seven with the three wins coming over the Panthers, Bears and Giants. The Commanders, whose only win over a team with a winning record came in Week 4 against Arizona, are now three games back in the loss column in the NFC East. Jayden Daniels was shaky again Sunday, throwing multiple interceptions (two) for the first time in his career, and Washington’s top running backs on the day — Austin Ekeler and Jeremy McNichols — had 22 yards.
Up next: vs. Tennessee Titans, Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
12. Seattle Seahawks (6-5)
Last week: 14Sunday: Beat Arizona Cardinals 16-6
Best-case scenario: Playoffs
Despite losing five of six games at one point this season, Seattle now essentially leads the NFC West because it owns the tiebreaker against the Cardinals. The Seahawks were outgained by Arizona and rushed for only 65 yards. Newly acquired linebacker and former Ram Ernest Jones has helped transform the Seattle defense, but it’s not enough to give this team a lot of playoff potential.
Up next: at New York Jets, Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
C.J. Stroud and the Texans aren’t playing as well as they did last year. (Alex Slitz / Getty Images
13. Houston Texans (7-5)
Last week: 12Sunday: Lost to Tennessee Titans 32-27
Best-case scenario: Playoffs
There was a time this team seemed like a conference title contender, but that time feels further and further away. Titans quarterback Will Levis outplayed Houston quarterback C.J. Stroud on Sunday, and Stroud is 32nd in passer rating (70.3) and 30th in EPA per dropback (minus-.09) in the last month. For the season, Stroud has been sacked 39 times, more than any quarterback other than Caleb Williams. That’s not a recipe for playoff success even if they do make it.
Up next: at Jacksonville Jaguars, Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
14. Arizona Cardinals (6-5)
Last week: 13Sunday: Lost to Seattle Seahawks 16-6
Best-case scenario: Winning NFC West
The Cardinals still own a piece of the NFC West lead even after losing to the Seahawks on Sunday, but with Minnesota and then Seattle again in the next two weeks, that position will be tested. Especially if Arizona doesn’t get its run game going. The Cardinals are 10th in the league in rushing EPA and sixth in rush yards (1,543), but they gained only 49 yards on 14 carries against the Seahawks.
Up next: at Minnesota Vikings, Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
15. Atlanta Falcons (6-5)
Last week: 17Sunday: Bye
Best-case scenario: Playoffs
Atlanta leads Tampa Bay by one game in the NFC South and owns the head-to-head tiebreaker against the Buccaneers. That means the Falcons are still in pretty good shape to make the playoffs despite losing two straight and three of their last five, but a defense that ranks 25th in points allowed (24.9) and last in sacks (10) means the ceiling for this team is low.
Up next: vs. Los Angeles Chargers, Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers snapped a four-game losing streak on Sunday and have a favorable schedule ahead. (Elsa / Getty Images)