Bills-Browns: Who you got? Buffalo News writers make their predictions for Sunday's game


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Bills running back James Cook rushes against the New England Patriots on Dec. 14 at Gillette Stadium.
Harry Scull Jr., Buffalo News


Jay Skurski​

This is a get-right game for the Buffalo defense, going against a rookie quarterback and an offense that is managing to put up just 16.1 points per game, tied for 29th in the league. Cleveland's defense is legit – starting, of course, with Myles Garrett. Triple team him if you have to. The key for the Bills will be to take care of the football and knowing there is nothing wrong with punting. Eventually, the Bills' offensive line and running back James Cook should wear down a defense that can only carry the weight of an inept offense for so long. Bills, 28-17.

Katherine Fitzgerald​

The Bills will get the better of this Lake Erie showdown. Despite Myles Garrett, the Bills push past the Browns defense, as Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen is dominant all day. Look for a get-right game for wide receiver Keon Coleman. Meanwhile, the Buffalo defense gets takeaways against rookie Shedeur Sanders, and the Bills log their fourth straight win with ease. Bills, 35-20.

Lance Lysowski​

This is going to be ugly for the Browns. Shedeur Sanders, their rookie quarterback, is playing behind an injured offensive line, and he doesn't have the weapons in the passing game. The Bills will confuse Sanders with simulated blitzes, forcing him to hold the ball for too long. The Browns' defense is also depleted by injuries and struggling to stop the run. Get ready for a blowout and Mitch Trubisky making an appearance in the fourth quarter. Bills, 42-10.

Steve Trosky​

This should be a walk in the park for the Bills. The Browns' defense is depleted by injuries, and their offensive line is not healthy, which means trouble for rookie quarterback Shedeur Sanders and rookie running back Quinshon Judkins. It is unreasonable to think Myles Garrett won't get a sack, since he is averaging 1.4 sacks per game, but if the Bills can keep Josh Allen upright and open holes for James Cook, the Bills will clinch a playoff spot. Bills, 31-17.
 

Bills numbers to know: 4 trends to watch for in Buffalo's game vs. Cleveland​


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Browns defensive end Myles Garrett. Terrance Williams, AP File

22.5​

Cleveland Browns defensive end Myles Garrett is one sack away from matching the single-season record (22½) held by the New York Giants' Michael Strahan (2001) and the Pittsburgh Steelers' T.J. Watt (2021). The NFL did not begin to count sacks as an official statistic until 1982. Garrett has 8½ sacks more than any other player this season, which would tie Reggie White (1987) for the largest gap in NFL history. Garrett has at least one sack in a career-best eight consecutive games, and he has sacked 51 different quarterbacks in his career.

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Bills running back James Cook. Harry Scull Jr., Buffalo News

4.8​

Over the Browns' last two games, losses to the Titans and Bears, Cleveland allowed 328 rushing yards on 68 attempts (4.8 yards per carry) and four rushing touchdowns. Bills running back James Cook is second in the NFL with 1,415 rushing yards this season. Cook also is second in rushing attempts (271), and he is third in rushes of 10-plus yards (33). He is first in Next Gen Stats' rushing yards over expected. Cook has 33 rushing touchdowns in 33 games since the start of the 2024 season.

24​

Keep an eye on the Bills' offense in the second half Sunday. Josh Allen's stat line in the third and fourth quarters this season: 83.4% adjusted completion percentage, 2,332 total yards, 24 total touchdowns, four interceptions and a 117.5 passer rating. The Browns' defense, meanwhile, has been far worse in the second half of games, allowing 16 touchdown passes and a passer rating of 101.4. Allen's 86 wins are tied with Tom Brady and Russell Wilson for the most by a quarterback in their first eight seasons.

13​

The Bills have forced 13 turnovers (nine interceptions, four fumble recoveries) over their last nine games, and they'll have a chance to earn more takeaways this week. Cleveland has multiple turnovers in four straight games, and it has 12 turnovers over its last eight games. Browns quarterback Shedeur Sanders completed 5 of 6 passes for 118 yards last Sunday when blitzed by the Chicago Bears, but he threw three interceptions when they sent four or fewer rushers. Will the Bills keep blitzing or will they take a different approach to this game?
 

Four keys for the Buffalo Bills to beat the Cleveland Browns​


1. Watch the rest of the defense​

Myles Garrett’s reputation is well known. The Browns' pass rusher has been dominant, and he can set the single-season sack record Sunday against the Bills. But Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen isn’t just looking at Garrett’s film. “He's not the only guy that they got,” Allen said Wednesday. “They've got a really, really great unit. Got a really good secondary, two of the top corners in the league. They've got one of the best rookies playing their linebacker position. So yeah, you've got to be all hands on deck and it's going to take every single guy to go out there and accomplish what we need to accomplish.”

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Browns defensive end Myles Garrett, left, celebrates after sacking 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy with defensive end Cameron Thomas
on Nov. 30 in Cleveland. Sue Ogrocki, Associated Press


2. Gear up for Garrett​

That said, the Bills still need to zero in on Garrett specifically. Offensive coordinator Joe Brady knows that’s no easy task. “He's literally the best there is,” Brady said Monday of Garrett. “And it's going to be a huge challenge for us. We're going to obviously sort through that, but it's a great opportunity for our guys. He's the best, and for us to be able to rise to that occasion and block the best.” A nine-year veteran, Garrett is at a whopping 21½ sacks this season. Garrett has played the Bills just twice, logging one sack in 2022. But he’s on a tear right now, and the Bills offense will have to contain him.

3. Get to Sanders​

The Browns are rolling with rookie quarterback Shedeur Sanders. The Bills will want to rattle Sanders, who threw three interceptions in his last outing against the Chicago Bears. As head coach of the Bills, Sean McDermott is 9-4 against rookie quarterbacks in the regular season. And for quarterbacks in their first seven starts, McDermott is 11-0. It’s Shedeur’s fifth start. “Good player, good young player, off to a great start,” McDermott said Wednesday of Sanders. “Dangerous with the tool set that he brings to the table. And he's done a great job. I think their offense has actually ratcheted up since he's been under center. So that'll be a big challenge for us.”

4. Finish healthy​

This has been a key to the game before, and it will be a key to the game again, as long as the Bills have their sights set on larger goals. The three-win Browns are beatable, as many other teams have shown. Their point differential is minus 106, as the offensive output is dismal. The Bills should be able to take advantage and notch their fourth straight win, but it’s critical that they don’t let injuries pile up even more. The team is trying to manage tight end Dalton Kincaid’s injury for the long term, and he’s one case to watch as they try to finish the game healthy.

– Katherine Fitzgerald, News Sports Reporter
 
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