Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots: How to watch, weather, odds, what to know

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Bills at Patriots: How to watch, weather, odds, what to know

The New England Patriots can clinch the AFC East division title and earn their first playoff berth since the 2021 season when they host the Buffalo Bills. The Bills come in winners of their last two games and have won the last five division crowns.
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The New England Patriots can clinch the AFC East division title and earn their first playoff berth since the 2021 season when they host the Buffalo Bills. The Patriots have won 10 straight games and are coming off their bye week. Buffalo comes in winners of their last two games and have won the last five division crowns. The Bills are also trying to avoid being swept by a division opponent for the first time since 2019. That was Tom Brady’s last season in New England, when the Bills lost both games to the Patriots.

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Buffalo Bills wide receiver Gabe Davis (13) and quarterback Josh Allen (17) celebrate their touchdown during the second quarter
at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass., on Thursday, Dec. 1, 2022. Harry Scull Jr., Buffalo News

Here is the TV info and other basics for Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots:​

WHO: Buffalo Bills (9-4) at New England Patriots (11-2)
WHEN: 1 p.m. Sunday
WHERE: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Mass.
TV: CBS (WIVB-TV, Ch. 4 in Buffalo). On the call: Ian Eagle, JJ Watt, Evan Washburn
RADIO: Bills Radio Network (WGR-AM, 550 in Buffalo). On the call: Chris Brown, Eric Wood, Sal Capaccio
LINE: Bills by 1½ (Over/Under: 48½)
WEATHER: 32 degrees and overcast, with winds from the north-northwest at 8-13 mph, according to AccuWeather. The forecast calls for a 60% chance of snow during the game.
 
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Bills numbers to know: 4 trends to watch for rematch with Patriots​

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Bills numbers to know: 4 trends to watch for rematch with Patriots

The Bills' matchup against the Patriots' Drake Maye in Week 5 was the only time this season the second-year quarterback has not thrown a touchdown pass.
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0​

The Bills' matchup against the Patriots' Drake Maye in Week 5 was the only time this season the second-year quarterback has not thrown a touchdown pass. Maye ranks second in passing yards (3,412), fourth in passing touchdowns (23) and second in Next Gen Stats' expected points added per drop back, but he's also taken the fourth-most sacks (40) and he's thrown four interceptions over his last six games. The Bills' defense has forced 12 turnovers over their last seven games.

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Patriots quarterback Drake Maye Harry Scull, Buffalo News

3.2​

Over the past two games, Buffalo's defense has allowed just 3.2 yards per carry. The Steelers and Bengals rushed for a combined 120 yards on 37 carries, which forced both teams to rely on their quarterback to try to win the game. The Bills held Patriots running backs Rhamondre Stevenson and TreVeyon Henderson to a combined 38 yards on 13 carries. Their struggles forced New England to have Maye throw the ball 30 times.

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Bills quarterback Josh Allen Harry Scull Jr., Buffalo News

26​

Bills quarterback Josh Allen has 26 total touchdowns in 14 career regular-season games against the Patriots. In those contests, Allen has thrown for 2,829 yards with 21 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. His 12 rushing touchdowns this season matched this total from 17 games in 2024. Allen has 35 total touchdowns, and he's tied for second in completion percentage (70.1%). On the road this season, however, Allen has six touchdown passes with six interceptions and he's been sacked 18 times. The Bills are 3-3 away from Orchard Park.

89.5​

The Patriots' defense ranks third this season in rushing yards allowed per game (89.5) and they are second in rushing touchdowns allowed (5). They've been significantly worse since they lost defensive tackle Milton Williams eight snaps into Week 11. During that span, New England ranks 23rd in EPA per rushing play, 31st in rushing success rate against, 27th in yards per carry allowed (4.7) and and 27th in rushing yards allowed per game (123.7). Bills running back James Cook rushed for 49 yards on 15 carries against New England in Week 5.
 

Bills-Patriots: Who you got? Buffalo News writers make their predictions for Sunday's game​

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Bills-Patriots: Who you got? Buffalo News writers make their predictions for Sunday's game

Members of The Buffalo News sports staff make their picks for the Bills-Patriots matchup.
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Jay Skurski​

The Bills are just the third team in NFL history to score at least 21 points and overcome a deficit of 10-plus points in the fourth quarter twice in a single season. The thinking here is they won’t have to do that Sunday against New England. The first game against the Patriots came down to the turnover battle, which New England won, 3-1. Even that out or swing it in Buffalo’s favor, and the Bills are the better team. The Patriots probably will still win the AFC East, but a Buffalo victory sets the stage for Round 3 in the postseason. Bills, 30-20.

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Bills quarterback Josh Allen throws a pass at Highmark Stadium prior to playing the Patriots on Oct. 5.
Harry Scull, Buffalo News

Katherine Fitzgerald​

After starting 1-2, the Patriots have won 10 straight. Unfortunately for the Bills, I think that continues on Sunday. The possibility of not having cornerback Christian Benford looms large – he’s been their best player on defense in back-to-back weeks. On the offensive side of the ball, the Bills will want to establish the run early. James Cook’s 49 rushing yards on 15 carries in the last meeting wasn’t enough. The Bills notch a rare December loss in Foxborough. Patriots, 30-28.

Lance Lysowski​

This isn't the same Patriots roster that beat the Bills in Orchard Park. New England is down its best defensive tackle, Milton Williams, and offensive tackle, Will Campbell. Patriots quarterback Drake Maye takes too many sacks and it's possible his top weapon, Stefon Diggs, is still playing with a broken finger. The Bills' issues on the road are a concern, but they're going to win this game if they win the turnover battle. Bills, 27-24.

Steve Trosky​

This is a game that could help determine the Bills' playoffs fate. They have struggled on the road this year, going 3-3 with losses to the Falcons, Dolphins and Texans, the only possible playoff team of the trio. But if you want to win the Super Bowl, you need to play well under pressure. The Bills had a stellar performance in the second half last week against the Bengals and need a full-game performance against the Patriots. A pressure-packed win on the road against one of the best teams in the NFL goes a long way. Josh Allen and company get it done. Bills, 31-27.
 
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