The Athletic: Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens odds, expert picks, how to watch: Josh Allen vs. Lamar Jackson in primetime
Any concern about Josh Allen’s ability to thrive without top target Stefon Diggs can officially be put to bed. The Buffalo quarterback is the MVP frontrunner through three weeks despite throwing to a receiving corps devoid of any household names. But, despite the thorough dismantling of Jacksonville Monday night, Allen and the 3-0 Bills are road underdogs against the 1-2 Ravens.
Home-field advantage is doing a lot of work for Baltimore when it comes to the spread, as Lamar Jackson and company have yet to demonstrate a cohesive passing attack or an ability to finish games. Anyone who watched the Ravens in Week 3 saw them overwhelm the Cowboys for 80 percent of the contest, but the final score illuminates their Achilles heel in 2024. Over three games, Baltimore has been outscored 39-17 in the fourth quarter, and opposing offenses are essentially doubling their productivity against the Ravens in the second half of games. That’s bad news for Baltimore, with Buffalo coming in having scored at least 31 points in all three games and outscoring opponents 102-31 over the last five halves.
Jackson has used his legs to keep games close, and Derrick Henry was able to punish Dallas’ interior rush defense last week, but that won’t be enough to keep pace with the Bills. The Ravens have passed well in the first half of games, but their air attack stalls late, largely due to the absence of an alpha receiver. No pass catcher has accumulated 150 yards or two touchdowns, and without Isaiah Likely’s surprise 111 yards against Kansas City in Week 1, they would have less than 600 receiving yards on the season. In previous years, Baltimore used tight end Mark Andrews to get their passing game unstuck. This season, the three-time Pro Bowler has been ineffective, and second-half drives have stalled without his reliable production. Kicker Justin Tucker is another lost safety net. Long considered automatic, he’s missed three of his eight attempts and is 0-2 from fifty yards or more.
The Ravens badly need to pull their record to even since the Steelers are off to a surprising 3-0 start in the division and have a favorable schedule ahead, so expect fireworks in the first half. But the Baltimore faithful will have to be as relentless as the Bills offense if the Ravens are going to hang with the visitors through all four quarters.
All odds from BetMGM. Looking for NFL tickets? Find them here.
Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens odds
How to watch Bills at Ravens
- Venue: M&T Bank Stadium — Baltimore
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET, Sunday
- TV: NBC
- Streaming: Fubo (try for free)