Tire stories

Predictions??

  • Bills 1-3

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Bills 3-10

    Votes: 4 40.0%
  • Bills 10+

    Votes: 3 30.0%
  • 'fins 1-3

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 'fins 3-10

    Votes: 2 20.0%
  • 'fins 10+

    Votes: 1 10.0%

  • Total voters
    10
  • Poll closed .

Can the Buffalo Bills complete their comeback? Will the Miami Dolphins finally answer the lingering questions about their résumé in the season finale? We’ll know the answers after the two teams face off Sunday night in what amounts to the AFC East title game. The Bills are favorites to win on the road.

The game will kick off at 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium. NBC will broadcast the game.

The Bills (10-6) are likely to make the playoffs, with an 82 percent chance, according to Austin Mock’s projections. That wasn’t always the case. They sat at 6-6 at the start of December but have since won four straight. Buffalo won at Kansas City, decimated the visiting Cowboys and took care of business against the Chargers and Patriots.

Bills quarterback Josh Allen has found the end zone more with his legs than his arm recently. He has rushed for eight scores in the last five games. During the same span, his touchdown-to-interception ratio slipped to 5-to-4.

Buffalo’s defense has done enough to keep opponents at bay. It sits in the top 10 in passing defense, scoring defense and total defense. It’s the middle-of-the-road rushing defense that could be a problem against the Dolphins. If Raheem Mostert (knee/ankle) returns to the field for the Dolphins, the Bills will have their hands full with him while also dealing with NFL passing yards leader Tua Tagovailoa.

The Dolphins (11-5) are playoff-bound, but questions linger about their quality once they get there. Only once has Miami defeated a team that had a winning record when it faced them, and that was in Week 16 against the Cowboys.

Miami’s top-10 rushing defense could make Buffalo running back James Cook a non-factor and force the Bills to win through the air, which hasn’t been their strength in the four recent wins. Still, Bradley Chubb’s absence will certainly impact both aspects of the Dolphins’ defense. Chubb tore his ACL late in their Week 17 loss to the Ravens.

All odds from BetMGM. Looking for NFL tickets? Buy them here.

What are the odds for Bills vs. Dolphins?​

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Storylines for Bills vs. Dolphins​

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Expert picks for Bills vs. Dolphins​

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First, balls to Allen for clearing his head in the third quarter and finding his game again
Ball to Diggs for also finding his game again.
Harity for the punt return - longest in Bills history
The Bills Defense for getting better and stronger as the game went on.

Goats to McD for again, burning useless timeouts in the 1st half.
Brady for a terrible game pan in the 1st half
Allen for letting the uncalled penalty where Knox was flattened rattle him for half the game. When josh gets the deer in the headlights look, we are in trouble.

Zebra Watch - the above-mentioned non-call and helmet to helmet is a penalty. Should have been a personal foul, 1st and goal at the half-yard mark with 2 seconds left.

 
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Bills running back Ty Johnson was being evaluated for a head injury at halftime and was not on the sideline for the start of the third quarter.
Johnson caught a pass at the goal line in the final seconds of the first quarter and was hit by Dolphins linebacker Jerome Baker.
No penalty was called on the play despite what appears to be a clear helmet-to-helmet blow. The clock expired to end the half.

Johnson was later ruled out of the game with a concussion.
Chris Nowinski, co-founder of the Concussion Legacy Foundation and CEO of Boston University's CTE Center, was among many questioning why a penalty was not called.


NBC analyst Matthew Berry also noted the lack of a penalty:

 

The AFC East title is staying in Buffalo for the fourth consecutive year.
The Bills completed the regular season Sunday night with their fifth consecutive win, defeating the Miami Dolphins, 21-14, in a game for the division title.

The Bills won the division for the fourth consecutive year to earn the AFC’s second seed and potentially two home playoff games.
Punt returner Deonte Harty’s 96-yard touchdown with 13:42 remaining tied it and tight end Dawson Knox’s five-yard touchdown with 7:16 left was the difference.
Safety Taylor Rapp sealed the game with an interception with 1:13 left.

The Bills (11-6) will host Pittsburgh (10-7) Sunday at 1 p.m. in the wild-card round.

Here is a recap of the Bills-Dolphins game:

Top plays​

  • Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa’s first deep pass of the game was intercepted by Bills cornerback Christian Benford (own 16-yard line). But the Bills couldn’t capitalize after using 11 plays to move to the Dolphins’ 5. On third-and-goal, Dolphins defensive coordinator Vic Fangio called a seven-man pressure against a six-man protection. Quarterback Josh Allen threw off his back foot and was intercepted in the end zone by Dolphins cornerback Eli Apple. Miami crossed midfield but eventually punted after the takeaway.
Miami was able to cash in on Allen’s second end zone interception of the first quarter (on a fourth-and-2 play from the 35). The Dolphins moved 80 yards on 11 plays, including a 23-yard catch by receiver Tyreek Hill on third-and-14. Running back Devon Achane scored on a 25-yard rush to make it 7-0 (8:51, second). Achane took the toss and turned up-field. Safety Jordan Poyer whiffed at the 20.
  • Receiver Stefon Diggs’ 36-yard catch – his longest reception since Week 5 against Jacksonville – put the Bills in business. On the touchdown play, Allen’s pass hit the helmet of Dolphins linebacker Andrew Van Ginkel and was collected by receiver Trent Sherfield for a six-yard touchdown and a 7-7 tie.
  • Miami didn’t need any third-and-long conversions on its second touchdown drive. The Dolphins completed passes of 14, 23, eight and three yards to make it 14-7 with 1:43 left in the second quarter. On third-and-3, Tagovailoa threw 24 yards to receiver Cedric Wilson (cornerback Dane Jackson in the game, replacing an injured Rasul Douglas). Three plays later, Tagovailoa threw a three-yard touchdown pass to Hill.
  • The Bills ran an effective hurry-up drill late in the second quarter … until the final play. With 11 seconds remaining, Allen bought time while wasting time (his first bad decision) and then threw it short of the goal-line (second bad decision). Running back Ty Johnson made the catch but was stopped at the 1-yard line by Apple and linebacker Jerome Baker.
  • More yards … and more non-scoring drives. The Bills drove from their 24 to the Dolphins’ 18 on a possession that took nearly half of the third quarter. But running back James Cook lost three yards on first down, Allen threw incomplete on second down and right guard O’Cyrus Torrence was beat for a sack by Christian Wilkins, who forced Allen to fumble.
  • A thunderbolt of a play with 13:42 remaining tied the score at 14-14 on a 96-yard punt return touchdown by the Bills’ Harty, the longest in franchise history. It was the Bills’ first punt return touchdown since Isaiah McKenzie in 2020 (84 yards).
  • After the Bills’ defense forced a three-and-out, the offense drove 74 yards, capped by tight end Dawson Knox’s five-yard touchdown catch (his first since Week 2 vs. Las Vegas). The score was set up a 26-yard catch by tight end Dalton Kincaid and a 28-yard catch by receiver Khalil Shakir.
  • With about four minutes remaining, Bills coach Sean McDermott opted to go for it on fourth-and-1 from his 35. Allen gained two yards on the keeper, which forced Miami to start using its timeouts.

Standout players​

CB Christian Benford: Benford ended Miami’s opening possession with his second interception of the season.
WR Trent Sherfield: Sherfield’s six-yard touchdown in the second quarter tied it 7-7 and was his first with the Bills.
WR Khalil Shakir: The second-year receiver just keeps on making plays. He had receptions of 46 and 28 yards.
WR Stefon Diggs: Welcome back, Stef. Diggs caught seven passes for 87 yards.
TE Dawson Knox: His first touchdown catch since Week 2 (five yards with 7:18 left) gave the Bills a 21-14 lead.

Statistics of note​

5: Consecutive playoff appearances for the Bills, their longest streak since six from 1988-93.

14: Games this season in which Bills quarterback Allen had at least one interception.

16: Consecutive games played this year by Bills running back Latavius Murray until his deactivation on Sunday night.
286: First-half yards by the Bills’ offense.
36: Distance of receiver Diggs’ second-quarter catch, his longest since a 48-yard gain against Jacksonville in Week 5.

4: Consecutive punts by the Dolphins in the second quarter, their longest streak of the year.

Injuries​

  • LB Tyrel Dodson (shoulder) went to the locker room early in the second quarter. He did not return and was replaced by Baylon Spector.
  • WR Gabe Davis (left knee) was injured in the second quarter while running a route and did not return.
  • CB Rasul Douglas (knee) was injured on a second-quarter rush by the Dolphins and was replaced by Dane Jackson.
  • RB Ty Johnson (concussion) was injured on the final play of the first half and did not return.
  • RT Dion Dawkins (hand laceration) was examined early in the fourth quarter. He returned to the game.

Next​

The Bills (11-6) will host the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7) in an AFC wild-card game Sunday at 1 p.m. The teams did not play during the regular season.
 

Less than two months ago, the Buffalo Bills’ defense was broken. The Philadelphia Eagles had just scored 30 points in the second half/overtime of a come-from-behind win, sending the Bills in general and their defense in particular spiraling into the bye week.
They weren’t tackling well, weren’t intercepting enough passes, weren’t making stops on third down and weren’t preventing big plays.
They weren’t playing Playoff Caliber Defense.

Sitting in the Lincoln Financial Field press box that late November night, I said it was time for coach/defensive play-caller Sean McDermott to get through the season – one that wouldn’t include the playoffs – and then start a search for a fresh set of eyes who could put a new spin on his system.

About that … never mind.

The Bills won their fourth consecutive AFC East title Sunday night with a 21-14 win over the Miami Dolphins that was the finest three hours of defense they have played all season. They capped the regular season with a five-game winning streak highlighted by nine takeaways.

“It’s awesome,” said middle linebacker Terrell Bernard, who made nine tackles. “It goes back to what we talk about – (after the Philadelphia game), we knew we had everything in front of us and we just had to take it one day, one moment and one week at a time.”
Everything was in front of the Bills, which was kind of the problem. Games at Kansas City and at home against Dallas would define the season. Lose both and the Bills were done. Split and they were probably done. But they won both to start their run to wearing championship t-shirts and hats in the postgame locker room Sunday night.

The Dolphins’ per-game averages entering Week 18 – 409.2 yards, 137.5 rushing yards, 271.1 passing yards and 30.1 points.

The Dolphins against the Bills – 275 yards, 108 rushing yards, 167 passing yards and the aforementioned 14 points.

The Dolphins against the Bills in the second half – punt, punt, punt, punt and interception. It was the only time this season that the Dolphins had to punt on four consecutive possessions. Miami ran only 17 players after halftime.

Take a bow, Bills defense.
“We’re not surprised nor satisfied,” defensive end A.J. Epenesa said. “I feel like our defense has had this potential all season. Tonight, we just had another game where we do what we do and things went our way.”

A.J. is being overly modest. Things went the Bills way because they made sure of it. Made sure of it, even after losing linebacker Tyrel Dodson (shoulder) and cornerback Rasul Douglas (knee) in the first half. Made sure of it, even as the Bills’ offense was stubbing their collective toes with three more turnovers and a failed fourth-down Josh Allen sneak.

Minus Dodson, Baylon Spector played at linebacker.
Minus Douglas, Dane Jackson played at cornerback.

And remember, this was a defense that played 13 games without cornerback Tre’Davious White, 12 games without linebacker Matt Milano, 11 games without defensive tackle DaQuan Jones and didn’t receive a sack from defensive end Von Miller.

Spector was the first Bills backup to get a chance, the third linebacker to play alongside Bernard after Milano and Dodson.
“Super grateful for the opportunity,” Spector said. “I’m glad I prepared the way I do each week and when that chance came, you just go out there and play.”
I asked Spector how he was able to slow down his heartbeat since it’s human nature to get on the field and try to do everybody’s job.

“Honestly, you practice that,” he said of staying within himself. “I work on it and try to stay poised before each play and then you’re onto the next play.”
Jackson started six games earlier in the year until Douglas was acquired in a trade from Green Bay. But he always practiced and prepared as if he was a starter, knowing he could get the call to enter the game.

“I really just leaned on my experience and I’m watching the guys all game long,” Jackson said.
On third-and-3 in the third quarter, Jackson made the tackle of receiver Braxton Berrios, holding him to a two-yard gain on third-and-3.

On third-and-9 in the fourth quarter, Jackson broke up a pass intended for Cedrick Wilson.

“He looked me in the eye and said, ‘If you’re not 100%, I promise I got you,’” Douglas said. “I was like, ‘You know what, go ahead and do your thing.’ I had faith in him. I’d rather him be 100 (percent) out there than me not being 100 and causing (problems for) my team.”

Douglas’ injury update?

“I’m going to get through it,” he said.
The Bills’ depth players weren’t done, though. Safety Taylor Rapp sealed the game with an interception. Safety Micah Hyde retrieved the football.
“I read (quarterback Tua Tagovailoa’s) eyes really well and we were in a great coverage and he sailed one and I tracked it and was able to make the catch to end the game,” Rapp said.
Spector playing linebacker snaps.
Jackson breaking up passes and making tackles.

Rapp – a role player – ending the Dolphins’ comeback threat.
This defense, all of this defense, has been transformed from a unit that couldn’t finish a game in October-November to one that can be trusted to play close-out football. See the Chiefs game. See the Chargers game. See this Dolphins game. That’s how teams make deep playoff runs.

“We preach it all the time, ‘Next man in,’ ” Hyde said.
On Sunday night, the next men in did their jobs.
 
First, balls to Allen for clearing his head in the third quarter and finding his game again
Ball to Diggs for also finding his game again.
Harity for the punt return - longest in Bills history
The Bills Defense for getting better and stronger as the game went on.

Goats to McD for again, burning useless timeouts in the 1st half.
Brady for a terrible game pan in the 1st half
Allen for letting the uncalled penalty where Knox was flattened rattle him for half the game. When josh gets the deer in the headlights look, we are in trouble.

Zebra Watch - the above-mentioned non-call and helmet to helmet is a penalty. SHoulf have been a personal foul, 1st and goal at the half yard mark with 2 seconds left.

Congrats. F the phins. Best of luck moving forward,


Just a good game to watch and enjoy. The return and the TD catch were moments indeed.


Cheers, BostonTim
 

The way this game symbolized the Buffalo Bills’ season is almost poetic.

Unknowingly, they embarked on a screenplay come to life that would get the approval of some Hollywood scriptwriters.

Sunday night’s 21-14 victory over the Miami Dolphins not only secures the AFC East division and the conference’s No. 2 seed, but also puts an exclamation point on a five-game journey the Bills started in early December.

It just didn’t go how anyone expected it to. If the Bills’ 2023 season had a boldface, all-caps headline, that would be it.

The Bills have been fighting for their playoff lives weekly for the past month. But thanks to the Tennessee Titans’ upset of the Jacksonville Jaguars, the Bills played Sunday night knowing that, no matter what, their season was extending into next week.

Perhaps some of the energy that helps them play with an edge left them. The Bills entered the game as road favorites, with the Dolphins missing several key players in the lineup.

Despite those matchup advantages the Bills had coming in, they slowly faded away with every failed drive and player lost to injury. A great first two drives ended in two Josh Allen interceptions.

They battled back for a touchdown to tie the game, but after the Dolphins went ahead 14-7, Allen made a critical error in throwing a pass short of the end zone near the end of the first half. He watched as the clock hit all zeroes, and the timeout-less Bills lost any chance for points with a play stopped two yards shy of the end zone.

Along the way, the Bills lost three starters — cornerback Rasul Douglas, wide receiver Gabriel Davis and linebacker Tyrel Dodson — and a key contributor in running back Ty Johnson for the rest of the game due to injury.

Their first drive of the second half failed and ended in a punt. Their second drive pushed the ball down the field, but Allen fumbled away another chance for points. They left three opportunities for field goals slip through their hands with turnovers and that’s probably only the low end of how many points they could have had.

The Bills had every reason to fold. Maybe it just wasn’t their night. Maybe it’d be a different story this time next week in another Bills-Dolphins clash.

Travel plans for the following weekend likely began to roll through fans’ minds to try and make next week feel like another home outing for the Bills in Miami. Heck, after the Allen sack and fumble, reporters who may or may not have written this column booked refundable travel for Miami next weekend — just in case.

Then Deonte Harty happened.

When the game seemed its bleakest, and Miami booted their punt all the way to the Bills’ 4-yard line, it seemed like yet another massive hill to climb to get close to the end zone for points. But Harty, perhaps the fastest player on the roster, made a couple of players miss, and seemingly out of nowhere, he was past the punter and screaming into the end zone for six.

Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel called the play “a gut punch.” Most Bills players pointed to that moment as the seismic shift of the evening.

It was the true awakening for a Bills team that knows a thing or two about awakenings in 2023. And so began the in-game microcosm of the Bills’ turnaround this season.

For most inside the locker room, they’ll point to the near-win in Philadelphia, passing for as many yards as they did in the pouring rain and going toe-to-toe with the then 10-1 Philadelphia Eagles. As odd as it was for an overtime loss to be the catalyst, that was the moment they knew they could actually accomplish all their goals this season after an, at best, rocky start with some terrible losses.

And just like the Eagles loss was the wake-up call leading to the five wins they needed to capture the AFC East, Harty’s punt return for a touchdown led to five pivotal moments the rest of the way.

And in both cases, their next time out on the field, the Bills looked completely rejuvenated and like a different team.

The defense forced a quick Dolphins three-and-out, allowing just one yard, much like the Chiefs win where the defense led the way.

Then came the Bills’ best drive of the night. An eight-play drive averaging over 9 yards per play ending in the game-winning touchdown — similar to their offensive explosion against the Dallas Cowboys.

After that, the defense forced another Dolphins three-and-out in which only three yards were allowed. This is the very defense that played a pivotal role in holding the Los Angeles Chargers to field goals despite several missed opportunities by the offense.

Then, needing to get precious time off the clock, the Bills took a delay of game penalty after a timeout but watched as Allen, even in not his best game, scrambled like a superhero to pick up the needed 13 yards, extend the drive and burn the Dolphins’ final timeout. That likens to Allen not having his best day against the New England Patriots but still providing a scoring touch on the ground when they needed him to.

Then came the Taylor Rapp interception to seal the game, shutting the door on the Dolphins and their AFC East hopes for good. The fifth big moment in the fifth big game.

“I think this game was the epitome of the whole season,” Bills general manager Brandon Beane told The Athletic after his team’s AFC East-clinching win. “Bad things happen in stretches, but at the right moment, [Allen’s] going to make the play to help us win.”

Following that blowout victory over the Cowboys, it showed all-too-familiar signs of the 2021 Bills team that had its best chance at winning the whole thing during the Sean McDermott and Beane era in Buffalo. But the opportunity ahead of them in 2023 may even have that beat.

And with this electric stretch of five-straight wins to enter the playoffs, the Bills have much in their favor. The path to the glory they’ve been chasing since their 2017 arrival is as clean as it’s ever been.

Their wild-card matchup is at home against a Pittsburgh Steelers team that has struggled to score points and likely will be without their top player, pass rusher T.J. Watt. Should they advance past that game, it could set up for a first for the McDermott-Beane Bills.

Assuming the Chiefs get past the Dolphins next weekend, the Bills would host their postseason arch-nemesis Chiefs at home for the first time since 2017. And it’s a far different Chiefs team than most years, as they’ve struggled to score points for the first time in a long time with Patrick Mahomes. And if the Chiefs don’t advance, the Bills would get a playoff newbie in the Texans or Browns at home.

If the Bills move past the divisional round, their most likely matchup would be against the Ravens, who they have played well against in their last two matchups — including a playoff victory. And if not them, it would be one of the Texans, Browns or Dolphins — three winnable matchups — at home.

There is no Joe Burrow-led Bengals lurking around the corner. With how they’ve rescued their season, and the different ways they’ve won these past five weeks, capturing the AFC seems as possible as it ever has for the Bills.

It may be the best opportunity they’ll ever have under McDermott and Beane to get to the Super Bowl. Now armed with at least two home games in a potential playoff run, if not more, it’s as realistic as ever. They’ve lost only once at Highmark Stadium, and it took a last-minute Denver Broncos drive to do it.

They entered Week 18 as the team no one wanted to play in the postseason, and that was before clinching a much cleaner route. Their path and current playing level make them as much of a bonafide Super Bowl contender as anyone in the NFL.

At 6-6 only a month ago, an opportunity like this one seemed as distant as ever in what looked to be a lost season with a super-talented roster. But now they’ve arrived at this moment of opportunity.
 
I don't think Brady called that bad of a game in the first half, Buffalo and the offense just didnt execute. 2 times in the redzone with 1 INT and a stuffed at goaline as time expired. 1 time on the 35 with 4th and 2 and another INT.
Agreed we left at least 9 points on the table in the 1st half could have been more
 
I love being wrong. By rule, I am required to predict that we are going one and done and will play down to the squeelers
 
Balls

Deonte Harty. When we were down to our last dying breath, our last hear beat. That heart beat was Deonte Harty. Thank you sir for the new life. The whole game changed right there

Josh MF Allen. Him, that dude. I know about all that other stuff. We all do. But this man would not be denied. We ride or die by the Allen. I will follow this man to the end of the earth. What a fucking baller man.

Sean McDermott the DC. Elite performance. Sign me up for 14 points vs ANY team every day of the week and twice on sundays.

Defense. See above. Lets get some honorable mentions out.

Benford. Great play to start us off.

Rapp. Called game

Dane Jackson. Coming into face hat passing game after watching your top corner get hurt is not easy. Sure he gave up a couple of plays, but he was mostly good.

Diggs. Sneaky good. Had toast Ramsey beat a couple more times but Allen was off

Shakir. The real WR 2. Caught everything and moved the chains

Sherfield. After an entire season MIA (pun intended) he came up with the goods.





Goats

Josh "Jameis" Allen. First half Josh was awful He was single handedly losing us the game. Man if he ever figures out a way to cut down on the stupid plays he's going to be even more unstoppable.

Sean McDermott the HC. Another putrid display of football awareness and situational coaching. The last drive before the half was miserable. Then he throws Allen under the bus in front of a national audience (even if he was right). My dude the only reason we didn't have time outs was you. And then near the end once again trying the fucking draw them offsides bluff. It does not work, it never has, it never will. My 5 year old son knows its coming.

James Cook. Dropped a td pass, ran like garbage, nearly fumbled the game away in the 4th. Awful day

OL. No blocking for the runners and at least in the 1st half Allen was being pressured often. This despite the fish only dressing like 4 linemen.

Refs. Alex Kemp with his usual below average output. Key missed call on the PI on Knox. And it happened about 3 feet in front of the ref. No call, next play ... int. Way to miss the helmet to helmet hit on Ty Johnson too. He was concussed on the play. Another 3 points (at least) off the board thanks to them. Fuck you Goodell.

Tua Turndaballover. We all knew he was a fake. A one trick (read) pony. Good luck in arrowhead



It never should've been that close dudes. We dominated them in every single category. Like its been said before. The only team that can beat the Bills is the Bills. Clean up the errors and we are unstoppable.
 
First, balls to Allen for clearing his head in the third quarter and finding his game again
Ball to Diggs for also finding his game again.
Harity for the punt return - longest in Bills history
The Bills Defense for getting better and stronger as the game went on.

Goats to McD for again, burning useless timeouts in the 1st half.
Brady for a terrible game pan in the 1st half
Allen for letting the uncalled penalty where Knox was flattened rattle him for half the game. When josh gets the deer in the headlights look, we are in trouble.

Zebra Watch - the above-mentioned non-call and helmet to helmet is a penalty. SHoulf have been a personal foul, 1st and goal at the half yard mark with 2 seconds left.


As much as I'll look for every opportunity to criticize McD not sure he deserves the goat call on this one. If it was the 2nd half different story and may just have to accept supposed preparedness is just a part of McD's dna.

All things considered he had the team ready and was successful in claiming the # 2 seed on the road against a playoff team. It may not have been the blowout fans wanted but he got the job done when to start the day there was the possibility to not even be in the playoffs.

As much as I hate to say it, congratulations coach McD on having your team claim the # 2 seed. Just hope you can get through another 4 games with a W.
 
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